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Coldwell Banker

Monday Morning Market Update November 23, 2009 Wk#46

This weekend the open houses were very well attended once again. Buyers are looking at properties for the second or third time, still trying to make a decision to purchase.  Some buyers have lost a few houses they liked due to waiting too long to make an offer before the house got sold.  A home that sold for $1.9 million 2 years ago, closed for $1.1 million last week.  This will be the time that will be remembered as having some of the best real estate deals.  Inventory is low due to homes taken off the market as the Holiday Season approaches.

Still a Buyers Market – HALF MOON BAY through MONTARA,CALIFORNIA with just under half of the listings listed at over 1 Million. The Million plus price range is finally seeing activity with 20% of sales in that price range.

Active Listings-108 Single Family Homes. 46  listed over $1,00,000, 17 listed under $600,000
Pending Sales-24 with 11 listed under $700,000 and 7 over $1 Million.
121 Homes Closed since January 1, 2009 with  31 that closed under $600,000 and 21 over 1 Million.

PACIFICA, CALIFORNIA
With YTD sales of 214 and active listing at 50, Pacifica continues to be a Seller’s market.

Active Listings-50 Single Family Homes. 10 listed over $900,000, 21 listed under $600,000
Pending Sales-44 with 18 listed under $500,000. 6 new Pendings this week. 3 under $500,000
217 Homes Closed since January 1, 2009 with  82 that closed under $500,000 and 71 between $500,000- $600,000.  No Closings this week

ABSORPTION RATE
Absorption Rate is the number of months it takes to sell the current inventory at the present rate of sales.
6 months supply is a balanced market.
Less than 6 months supply is a Sellers market.
More than 6 months supply is a Buyers market

Monday Morning Market Update November 9th Wk#45

This weekend the open houses were very well attended.  Lots of new buyers looking to get in on the Tax Credit extention with an April 2010 deadline to enter into a purchase contract.  Maybe we’ll see more buyer anxiety thou it is still looking like a buyers market in the Half Moon Bay communities.  Pacifica short sales are getting multiple offers with homes listed in the $400,000 range.

Still a Buyers Market – HALF MOON BAY through MONTARA,CALIFORNIA with just under half of the listings listed at over 1 Million. The Million plus price range is finally seeing activity.

Active Listings-122 Single Family Homes. 53 listed over 1 Million, 25 listed under $600,000
Pending Sales-30 with 8 listed under $600,000 and 9 listed over $1,000,000.
109 Homes Closed since January 1, 2009 with only 18 that closed over $1,000,000 and 29 under $600,000

PACIFICA, CALIFORNIA
With YTD sales of 214 and active listing at 60, Pacifica continues to be a Seller’s market.

Active Listings-60 Single Family Homes. 11 listed at $900,000 or higher and 27 listed under $600,000.
Pending Sales-34 Single Family Homes with 13 listed under $500,000 and 4 over.  6 Properties went Sale Pending this week with listed prices from $430 to $718,000.
214 Closed Sales since January 1, 2009 with 9 that were listed for over $1,000,000.  82 sales were from homes listed at $500,000 or less. 5 new sales this week betweem $398,000 and $750,000.

ABSORPTION RATE
Absorption Rate is the number of months it takes to sell the current inventory at the present rate of sales.
6 months supply is a balanced market.
Less than 6 months supply is a Sellers market.
More than 6 months supply is a Buyers market

It’s on the Table by Rick Turley, Coldwell Banker SF Bay Area President

Rick has given us the update on the possibility of extending the tax credit.  Also check the market news from last week for the coast and San Mateo County.

“There’s no question that the government’s first-time homebuyer tax credit has spurred a significant amount of sales this year.  Latest estimates show that some 400,000 additional sales occurred this year due to the first time home buyer tax credit, which is about 8% of all sales this year.

In the latest news, The Senate has reached a compromise on extending and expanding the $8,000 tax credit for first-time home buyers.  While its passage remains uncertain, this plan would extend the existing credit for first-time homebuyers, worth up to $8,000, while offering a new credit of up to $6,500 for some existing homeowners.  The reduced credit would be available to  homeowners who have been in their current residence for a consecutive five-year period in the past eight years.  Lawmakers in Washington also raised the qualifying income limits to $125,000 for single taxpayers and $250,000 for joint taxpayers, from the current $75,000 and $150,000.  Under the Senate compromise, buyers must have sales agreements in hand by April 30, but they will have until June 30 to go to settlement, said the sources. The measure still faces votes in the full Senate and the House.  The U.S. Senate won’t vote until next week at the earliest. ” 

This week, Business Week reported “The broad improvement in the housing indicators in recent months leaves no doubt that the long-awaited housing recovery is finally under way.”  The article went on to report:  “Policy alone cannot explain the 24% gain in existing home sales since January, nor the 22% increase in new-home purchases, the 40% rise in single-family housing starts, and the recent upturn in home prices. The primary driver is historically high affordability. Fixed 30-year mortgage rates are at 5%, a multi-decade low, and prices have plunged a total of 30% since May 2006, based on the Standard & Poor’s Case-Shiller Home Price Index. By that price gauge, homes are well undervalued relative to both rents and aftertax income.”

Here is what is happening in San Mateo County

  • PeninsulaHalf Moon Bay reported it is sensing a slow down with less inventory. MLS tour sheet reflects all the retours, many with price reductions and few new listings.  Menlo Park El Camino reported a bit of a sea change in the market-not much new inventory, only three new listings on tour this week which is very, very low.  Menlo Park Santa Cruz Avenue reported very slow open house activity this last week.  Many listings are receiving price reductions as new inventory is limited.  Pricing is critical.  52% of the listings on the Menlo Park Atherton Broker tour have price reductions and 82% are retours.  Palo Alto Downtown reported the market is generally slow.  We feel like the holiday season has started early.  The activity is reflective of that.  Sales are down in our area.  San Mateo reported a look at its pending sales (SFR) of its six main communities; here is a breakdown of the total and the percentage of short sales plus REOs.  Belmont 31 pending sales (35% SS/REO), Burlingame 27 pending sales (33% SS/REO), Foster city 12 pending sales (18% SS/REO), Hillsborough 22 pending sales (23% SS/REO), Redwood shores 10 pending sales (10% SS/REO), San Mateo 109 pending sales (52% SS/REO).  Most of San Mateo SS/REO is in entry level areas.