“The FHA announced changes to its guidelines yesterday. It will raise the minimum down payment required for borrowers with credit rating scores below 580 to 10%, while the down payment for higher-ranked borrowers would stay at 3.5%. The up-front MI premium is also going from 1.75% to 2.25%. HUD is seeking congressional approval to allow it to raise annual mortgage insurance premiums — which are paid out by the borrower over the life of the loan — above the 0.55 percent maximum. Lastly, the FHA also said it was cutting the amount of aid sellers could provide buyers to 3 percent of the purchase price from 6 percent; a move it said could help lessen incentives to inflate appraised home values.”

“There’s no question that the government’s first-time homebuyer tax credit has spurred a significant amount of sales this year.  Latest estimates show that some 400,000 additional sales occurred this year due to the first time home buyer tax credit, which is about 8% of all sales this year.

In the latest news, The Senate has reached a compromise on extending and expanding the $8,000 tax credit for first-time home buyers.  While its passage remains uncertain, this plan would extend the existing credit for first-time homebuyers, worth up to $8,000, while offering a new credit of up to $6,500 for some existing homeowners.  The reduced credit would be available to  homeowners who have been in their current residence for a consecutive five-year period in the past eight years.  Lawmakers in Washington also raised the qualifying income limits to $125,000 for single taxpayers and $250,000 for joint taxpayers, from the current $75,000 and $150,000.  Under the Senate compromise, buyers must have sales agreements in hand by April 30, but they will have until June 30 to go to settlement, said the sources. The measure still faces votes in the full Senate and the House.  The U.S. Senate won’t vote until next week at the earliest. ” 

This week, Business Week reported “The broad improvement in the housing indicators in recent months leaves no doubt that the long-awaited housing recovery is finally under way.”  The article went on to report:  “Policy alone cannot explain the 24% gain in existing home sales since January, nor the 22% increase in new-home purchases, the 40% rise in single-family housing starts, and the recent upturn in home prices. The primary driver is historically high affordability. Fixed 30-year mortgage rates are at 5%, a multi-decade low, and prices have plunged a total of 30% since May 2006, based on the Standard & Poor’s Case-Shiller Home Price Index. By that price gauge, homes are well undervalued relative to both rents and aftertax income.”

Here is what is happening in San Mateo County

• Peninsula—Half Moon Bay reported it is sensing a slow down with less inventory. MLS tour sheet reflects all the retours, many with price reductions and few new listings.  Menlo Park El Camino reported a bit of a sea change in the market-not much new inventory, only three new listings on tour this week which is very, very low.  Menlo Park Santa Cruz Avenue reported very slow open house activity this last week.  Many listings are receiving price reductions as new inventory is limited.  Pricing is critical.  52% of the listings on the Menlo Park Atherton Broker tour have price reductions and 82% are retours.  Palo Alto Downtown reported the market is generally slow.  We feel like the holiday season has started early.  The activity is reflective of that.  Sales are down in our area.  San Mateo reported a look at its pending sales (SFR) of its six main communities; here is a breakdown of the total and the percentage of short sales plus REOs.  Belmont 31 pending sales (35% SS/REO), Burlingame 27 pending sales (33% SS/REO), Foster city 12 pending sales (18% SS/REO), Hillsborough 22 pending sales (23% SS/REO), Redwood shores 10 pending sales (10% SS/REO), San Mateo 109 pending sales (52% SS/REO).  Most of San Mateo SS/REO is in entry level areas.

While Congress continues to debate the issue, we as Realtors, are calling for support for the expansion of the tax credit from first-time buyers to all homebuyers, increasing the maximum amount of the tax credit from $8,000 to $15,000, eliminating the existing income caps for eligibility purposes and extending this homebuyer tax credit for one year from the date of enactment.
We believe that stimulating demand for housing—particularly in the repeat buyer market—is the most effective way for Congress to help lead the U.S. economy into a recovery and back on the path to growth. And we have to remember that it’s not just the entry level that is affected. The move-up buyer begins the process in building more demand in our mid-tier price points and ultimately our higher-end markets. Timing is critical and we hope that Congress is listening.

While the clock ticks and we await the results of the debate on Capitol Hill, let’s take a look at this week in real estate:

• East Bay—Berkeley reports a rather slow start to October, compared to our previous months. Anything priced $400-750k is getting lots of attention. Open houses were competing with a popular local street fair, but still garnered 45 to 30 groups at the newer listings. Castro Valley reports new construction in our area is looking up. Pricing seems to have normalized for new construction. Otherwise, we are still seeing lots of short sales. REOs are trickling through as well. We are starting to see the Castro Valley home median price range pick up somewhat. Fremont reports the market is typical for the Fall months as people prepare for school and holidays. REO properties are still hot, but have slowed a little too. Livermore reported during this past week active listings and total pending sales remained stable in both Livermore and Pleasanton. In Dublin, this past week, there was more than a 20% increase in listings, and a decline of 10% in total pending sales. $500,000 and below still remains very “Hot” with multiple offers. Walnut Creek reports very low inventory with multiple offers on almost every sale. Even with multiple offers, properties in the $600,000 – $1,000,000 range are not selling much over asking. Buyers are still very cautious, some not quite convinced that the market has hit “bottom.” REOs are barely trickling in.
• Monterey County—Things seem to be slowing down just a bit, though we have had some high-end sales of late, as the inventory of REOs is dwindling and the expected onslaught of new REOs has not yet materialized. Great mortgage rates we’re seeing right now may encourage another surge of sales.
• North Bay—The San Rafael office reports the under $300K market in San Rafael has slowed due to lack of inventory. In Novato the $300-600K price point is steady and the under 300K price point holding steady over the past few months. Cash is still king in bidding wars. Southern Marin reports listings are slowing down considerably. Sebastopol reports buyers are kicking tires at open houses. Listing activity is very slow.
• Peninsula—Burlingame reports appraisal problems are becoming more common and buyers demands are becoming excessive. The Agents are working so hard to hold their transactions together. The number of sales have picked up however and hopes are high for a strong Q4 finish. Half Moon Bay reports the price point is the only thing that matters in receiving offers on listings. Over the $1m mark is still very quiet. Menlo Park El Camino reports buyers are absolutely out there but come out of the bushes only when lured by a great house at a great price. We had nine offers, 25 offers, 6 offers – where are the 8 and 24 and 5 buyers that didn’t get the house? They will buy when the right house gets to the current market price. Redwood City/San Carlos reports one of the multiple offers was our listing and it was priced at $775,000—in San Carlos. There were five offers and it went $55,000 over list price. Three out of the five offers were very close. Moods seem positive. Woodside reported buyers are still on the fence for anything over $4 million. Almost nothing will lure them out. Under that level, it is price, price, price.
• San Francisco—Lombard reported truism reinforced this week: “Price it right, right out of the gate.” Buyers are writing right away if they see value and sense competition. But not returning to see the stale listings with the multiple mini reductions. Many sellers are still not getting this. Market Street reported that there was a lot to do around San Francisco over the weekend so open houses were a little less well attended than past weekends. However, those who attended were especially eager to buy before the end of the year. Van Ness reported both large and small deals are moving well. Activity level is picking up again.
• Santa Cruz County—The lower end market below $600K continues to dominate the lion’s share of sales. Agents are working really hard to keep deals moving forward and at times buyers continued interest in the property if escrows drag on. The Agents are still doing a lot of short sales, some taking months and months. The REO market especially south County – Watsonville – is almost completely dried up and those few actives are getting multiple offers – with cash buyers winning the bids.
• Silicon Valley—Cupertino reports we typically have a lot more sales than listings. Last week the numbers were just about even. Open house traffic was insane! Los Altos reports buyers are trying to find an affordable home in most cases and are competing in multiple offers with cash investors. Mid tier buyers have more time to consider and the upper end is slow. San Jose Almaden reports the market is tapering off a bit on the sales now, not by much but a little. Open houses remain very busy still. With rates as good as they are and inventory shrinking and tax credits ending I would expect more sales. Perhaps the upcoming weeks will prove this to be true. All sales made this week were multiple offers. Willow Glen reports multiple offers are still the norm and many of the Agents in this office have clients that are losing out. Inventory is somewhat down as well.
• South County—Morgan Hill reports each local market is unique and comes with its own set of challenges. Here in South County offerings on the MLS range from one-bedroom condos to huge estates on acreage. We have horse properties, PUDs, single-family developments and attached housing and everything in between. The buying public, for the last six months, has zeroed in on entry level housing (those homes listed under $500,000). That segment of the market is thriving.

MONDAY MORNING MARKET UPDATE WILL RESUME NEXT WEEK

This week Realogy (Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage’s parent company) President Richard Smith met with legislators regarding the need for policy initiatives concerning the real estate industry and the economy as a whole.  Specifically, the Business Roundtable (an association of chief executive officers of leading U.S. corporations)— of which Richard is the chair—issued a set of recommendations for the White House and Congress that are aimed at jump starting the housing market in order to stimulate a broader economic recovery.

The Business Roundtable’s recommendations are as follows:

•         Keep mortgage interest rates at historically low levels (below 5 percent) for at least one year;
•         Expand the current First-Time Homebuyer Tax Credit incentive from the lesser of 10 percent of the purchase price of the home or $8,000 to a higher limit of either 10 percent or $15,000 for all homebuyers, remove the income restrictions and include all primary residence purchases for one full year;
•         Conduct a thorough review of current foreclosure mitigation and loan-modification programs in light of rising loan-modification re-default rates;
•         Make permanent the current temporary conforming loan limits; and
•         Continue to review and strengthen government efforts already underway to review and refine mortgage lending practices.

We believe targeted, demand-side solutions—such as the ones Business Roundtable is recommending—will provide a critical next step for a housing recovery that will help create jobs and boost the economy as a whole. To obtain a copy of the Business Roundtable press release and its Housing Working Group’s detailed recommendations, click here. To read an article that appeared in today’s online edition of The Wall Street Journal containing an interview about the Business Roundtable’s recommendations and why they are crucial to jumpstarting the housing market, click here.  We will communicate with you as any legislative opportunities occur for you to contact members of Congress and voice your support—but for now, just know that we appreciate your support and are proud to be part of this initiative.

Friday, February 13, 2009 – Brought to you by the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Dear C.A.R. Member:
Late this evening, the U.S. Senate passed the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 by a 60 to 38 vote. Earlier today, the stimulus package passed the U.S. House of Representatives in a 246 to 183 vote. Today’s votes followed several days of negotiations by the House, Senate, and White House, with the final tab for the stimulus bill coming in at $787.2 billion.

On the housing front, the good news is that the legislation resets the conforming loan limit cap at $729,750, up from $625,500. Numerous counties in California experienced a marked decrease in their conforming loan and FHA limits on Jan. 1, and the stimulus bill reinstates 2008 loan limits through Dec. 31, 2009.

The bill also increases the first-time home buyer credit from $7,500 to $8,000, and removes the requirement that the credit be paid back if the buyer stays in the home for at least three years. It also extends the expiration date for the credit from July 1 to Dec. 1, 2009.  Homebuyers must have purchased a home after Jan. 1, 2009, and before Dec. 1, 2009, to be eligible for the $8,000 credit.

C.A.R. and NAR have long advocated for higher conforming loan limits. The conforming loan limit provisions and other housing elements in the stimulus package are a step in the right direction for our industry and all Californians.

The stimulus package also contains $308.3 billion in appropriations spending, including $120 billion on infrastructure and science and more than $30 billion on energy-related infrastructure projects. It also allocated an additional $267 billion for direct spending, including increased unemployment benefits and food stamps; and provides $212 billion in tax breaks for individuals and businesses.

Now that the stimulus package is approved and is on its way to President Obama for signature, it is our hope that Congress will turn its attention toward helping homeowners remain in their homes and will take immediate steps directed specifically at stemming the ongoing foreclosure crisis.

We’ll keep you updated on today’s news as more detailed information becomes available.

Sincerely,

James Liptak
2009 President
CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

For more on the changes in conforming loan limits, check out the following from Inman News:

Highlight: The loan limits for Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and FHA loan guarantee programs, which were bumped back down to $625,500 in high-cost areas on Jan. 1, were restored to the temporary $729,750 approved by Congress a year ago in the Economic Stimulus Act of 2008.

Fannie and Freddie’s conforming loan limits — which began 2008 at $417,000 — were allowed to stretch to 125 percent of the median home price in high-priced housing markets for much of last year. That was intended to be a temporary measure to address the high cost of non-conforming “jumbo” loans after the collapse of the private-label secondary mortgage market in August 2007.

The $729,750 limit expired on Jan. 1, and Fannie, Freddie and FHA are currently permitted to guarantee loans of up to 115 percent of the median home price in high-cost markets, with a cap of $625,500 (that’s 150 percent of the $417,000 conforming loan limit). HR 1 will restore the limit to 125 percent of median home price in high cost markets, up to $729,750, for the remainder of 2009.

FHA began 2008 with a $200,160 “floor” loan limit in normal markets and a maximum loan limit of $362,790 in high-cost markets. As part of the Economic Stimulus Act, Congress increased FHA’s floor limit to $271,050 in normal markets and the upper limit in high cost areas to $729,750. That move helped increase the Federal Housing Administration’s share of purchase mortgage originations from less than 4 percent in 2006 to 21 percent in September.

Click here for complete story.

In the past, homesellers could claim $250,000 of home sale profits tax-free ($500,000 if filing jointly) provided they physically lived in the home for 2 of the previous 5 years.  Property owners were often advised to stay in their homes for at least 2 years to take advantage of this exclusion. The new law, however, is not all or nothing – the exclusion is now a calculated ratio:

In other words, if a home seller occupied a property as a primary residence in 2 of the last 5 years, under the new system, he would be entitled to 40% of his capital gains tax-free versus 100 percent of those gains before the new housing law passed. 

For full details:
http://www.themortgagereports.com/2008/08/with-the-new-ho.html